We offer a dynamic Bayesian forecasting model for multiparty elections. It combines data from published pre-election public opinion polls with information from fundamentals-based forecasting models.
Dano, Kevin, Francesco Ferlenga, Vincenzo Galasso, Caroline Le Pennec, and Vincent Pons. "Coordination and Incumbency Advantage in Multi-Party Systems: Evidence from French Elections." NBER Working ...
While many countries embrace multiparty competition, others remain under dominant or single-party systems that shape ...
Kenya will live under the yoke of multi-partyism until we grow restless and throw it from off our necks. I am now convinced, after three decades of the system, that multi-party democracy is overrated.
The political environment in the U.S. is so polarized, where members of one party may never vote for members of the other party. Politics needs to move past power and focus on improving the lives of ...
Small changes in turnout could substantially alter election results in the future because the UK now has a multiparty system with majoritarian voting ...
Are Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump really the two best candidates for America's most demanding and important job? Hardly. Trump tried to reverse the last election. And ...
The ability of parties to not only reflect, but actually shape, citizens' preferences on policy issues has been long debated, as it corresponds to a fundamental prediction of classic party ...
Eminent politician Dr. Gbenga Olawepo-Hashim yesterday renewed the call for the defense and preservation of multiparty democratic system, describing it as the bedrock of national unity and political ...